Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.669508 0.831329 1.004071 1.200361 1.415526 1.642697 1.899222
2025-02-16 0.464545 0.689809 0.950801 1.266933 1.632060 2.034279 2.505068
2025-02-23 0.339396 0.586944 0.893006 1.280932 1.744523 2.268608 2.894896
2025-03-02 0.221475 0.465962 0.792637 1.227455 1.765208 2.388356 3.147346
2025-03-09 0.134477 0.362520 0.695744 1.162155 1.758210 2.464645 3.339592
2025-03-16 0.081470 0.292874 0.631887 1.128920 1.782306 2.571188 3.561399
2025-03-23 0.055539 0.260543 0.615504 1.154115 1.876316 2.759317 3.877518
2025-03-30 0.033013 0.223730 0.586163 1.157198 1.938857 2.906812 4.143441
2025-04-06 0.014848 0.182245 0.542087 1.134518 1.964226 3.005846 4.348996
2025-04-13 0.009163 0.172725 0.550455 1.186758 2.088142 3.227325 4.702848
2025-04-20 0.005100 0.163977 0.558556 1.237693 2.209828 3.445819 5.053103
2025-04-27 0.002917 0.160689 0.575964 1.302296 2.349910 3.687635 5.432159
2025-05-04 0.001905 0.164848 0.610858 1.399024 2.541284 4.003813 5.914467
2025-05-11 0.000446 0.156817 0.621159 1.458482 2.683228 4.259480 6.325619
2025-05-18 NaN 0.138266 0.606738 1.477226 2.767483 4.440220 6.643177
2025-05-25 NaN 0.102082 0.546421 1.418442 2.740990 4.476883 6.781019
2025-06-01 NaN 0.069652 0.482900 1.348100 2.693935 4.483833 6.879282
2025-06-08 NaN 0.049740 0.442445 1.312017 2.692575 4.547716 7.046281
2025-06-15 NaN 0.043142 0.438726 1.339335 2.783033 4.732325 7.365339
2025-06-22 NaN 0.033868 0.422440 1.342667 2.837418 4.868704 7.623165
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022726 0.392314 1.318101 2.848922 4.947066 7.806721
2025-07-06 NaN 0.022088 0.405324 1.374664 2.982275 5.188768 8.198606
2025-07-13 NaN 0.021333 0.417539 1.429730 3.113490 5.427793 8.587354